Inflation still high, no room for monetary stimulus: RBI
"When growth is slowing down you can stimulate the economy either by monetary easing or by fiscal stimulus, but both monetary and fiscal side have no room for stimulus. So that is the big concern," RBI Governor D Subbarao said while addressing IIM students last evening.
Notwithstanding expectations of interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its quarterly monetary policy on January 29 on back of declining inflation, Subbarao said, "Inflation has come down, (it is) still high".
Although the inflation, based on movement in wholesale prices, touched the three-year low of 7.18 per cent in December, the retail inflation continued to remain in double digit at 10.56 per cent. It only indicates that easing WPI was not providing any relief to the consumers from spiralling prices.
The WPI inflation at 7.18 per cent was also much above the central bank's comfort level of 4-5 per cent. The inflation has not declined to the expected levels despite tight monetary stance pursued by the RBI to check price rise.
With industrial output contracting by 0.1 per cent in November, the industry has stepped up its demand for interest rate cut by the RBI in its forthcoming policy.
The economic growth, which slipped to nine-year low of 6.5 per cent in 2011-12, is expected to decline further to 5.7-5.9 per cent in the current fiscal.