In the last 24 hours, Odisha has reported 2803 new Covid cases and a record 52 deaths. The number of active cases is a little less than 30k at 29620. The rate at which the daily infection count in Odisha is dropping indicates that single-day cases could come down to below 800 by mid-July.
A recent projection of IIT Kanpur mentions that at the current decay rate, Odisha is expected to see about 739 daily cases within two weeks. The test positivity rate (TPR) has dropped to 3.75 per cent. As per the World Health Organization (WHO), a pandemic situation can be considered as 'under control' if a consistent TPR of less than five per cent is maintained for at least two weeks.
Moreover, a low positivity rate indicates that restrictions may very likely be eased soon. As far as the scenario in Odisha is concerned, the daily infection count has reduced by over 73 per cent compared to its value at its peak. The active case count has also gone down by more than 72 per cent from its peak value achieved in May 2021. Odisha's current case fatality rate (CFR) based on average daily data is close to 1.5 %, says the IIT Kanpur model.
According to the model, the daily cases are currently in a declining phase. The effective reproduction number based on the latest data hovers around 1. In the second wave, around 6 lakh cases have been reported in Odisha, with over 2300 deaths.
However, the current trend indicates that the situation is improving in Odisha. People are advised to strictly follow COVID protocols and guidelines even after the restrictions are eased in order to avoid any fresh wave of infection.