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Sanjeev Kumar Patro

Bhubaneswar: The second Covid-19 wave is seemingly not only fast but also infects the young in a big way. The number count tells the high incidence. Of every 10 infected in the Capital city, 2 belong to the age group of 15-30 years, when the very young age group constitutes around one-third of the total City population.

As per an analysis of the daily new infected data of the Smart City, around 20-24 per cent of the new cases belong to the age group of 15-30 years. The population of the age group in the city has been estimated at over 3.8 lakh.

The daily new cases per lakh population have been, therefore, estimated approximately in the range of 16-24. The high values indicate the state of incidence of the virus in the very youth population in the city.

SECOND WAVE VS FIRST WAVE  

The data on the infections in the age group during the first wave reveals that the proportion of daily infections stood at around 16 per cent of the total daily infections.

On the contrary, in the second wave, the share of the age group has risen to as high as 24 per cent of the new daily infections.

The above comparative analysis indicates that the virus is infecting the very young populace of the city in a bigger way during the second wave.

ANOTHER STARK DIFFERENCE: Ground data collected by BMC suggests that, unlike the first wave, a whole family – right from grandfather to 1-year old child – get infected in the second wave.

COVID19 SECOND WAVE CAPITAL SCENARIO

The daily infection chart released by BMC shows that the Capital city has today recorded 311 new infections. The local infections still contribute a high load of around 79 per cent.

BIG DEVELOPMENT  TODAY: While for the first time the number of new daily recoveries crossed the 100-mark to touch 124 today, the recovery rate still hovers below 40 per cent.

As per highly placed sources, nearly 83 per cent of new infections are asymptomatic in the Capital city and in nearly 80 per cent of total cases, the recovery happened within 8-days.

“We hope the recoveries to cross 200-mark in the last week of April,” said a senior official in the State Health Department.

CASELOAD RATE DIPS: After remaining over 80 per cent for nearly two days, the caseload rate in the Capital city has today dropped to around 60 per cent courtesy of a sharp rise in recoveries.

SECOND WAVE WILL STAY HERE?

The cases will spiral up further in the city. The unusually high gap (over 20 per cent) between recovery and caseload rate indicates that the curve of the second wave in the city will stay for long.

THE CAPITAL CLUSTERS

In addition to the existing clusters of Khandagiri, Nayapalli and Old Town,  more are seen sprouting up on each passing day. The new clusters during the last 7-days have been: Patia, Saheed Nagar, Rasulgarh, Chandrasekharpur, Sundarpada and Sailshree Vihar.

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