Bhubaneswar: The second wave in Odisha is apparently growing fast and furious. With the recovery rate slipping to a mere 22 per cent today as against 60 per cent on March 26, and as the caseload rate taking a quantum leap to 77 per cent from a mere 40 per cent on March 18, the State is poised to see a big leap in cases in the days to come.

Bhubaneswar: The second wave in Odisha is apparently growing fast and furious. With the recovery rate slipping to a mere 22 per cent today as against 60 per cent on…

However, like Maharashtra, it’s only three districts in Odisha that have become the three-alarm fire for the State.

While Nuapada is zipping fast towards the ‘critical’ incidence zone, Sundargarh and Bhubaneswar have already in the ‘high-risk’ incidence zone in the State.

WILL NUAPADA TURN ‘CRITICAL’?  

The new daily confirmed cases in the western Odisha district bordering Chhattisgarh have recorded a 5-times jump during the last 4-days. On April 6, the daily new cases were mere 31, the count touched 135 on April 9.

With the quantum surge, the daily confirmed cases per lakh population in the State hovered at over 20. As per WHO, if the total new daily cases cross the value of 25 per lakh, then the Covid-19 incidence in the city/state/district will come under the ‘Critical’ stage.

Even as the recovery rate in the district is higher at 43 per cent vis-a-vis State average of 22 per cent, the gap between caseload rate (CLR) and recovery rate is still very wide as the CLR is estimated at around 57 per cent.

THE EVIDENCE: New cases have been coming from all blocks. Ground reports suggest a rural spread in the district.

WILL ‘HIGH-RISK’ SUNDARGARH DETERIORATE?

This another western Odisha district has been bearing the major burden in State’s rising caseload. With 355 new cases, the district sits at the top in Covid-19 cases.

During the last 4-days, the daily new cases have clocked a near 2.5 times growth. The cases on April 6 were 147, today the tally is 355 new cases.

Given the surge in the district, the daily confirmed cases per lakh people have taken a jump to 15.4 from around 8 on April 6. In a span of 4-days, the Covid-19 incidence in the district has become ‘high-risk’.

The fear of the situation deteriorating further looms large as the recovery rate in the district for the last 4-days stood at below 10 per cent, whereas the caseload is hovering at around 80 per cent.

THE EVIDENCE: Though over 60 per cent of new cases have come from Sundargarh town and Rourkela city, the rural spread looms large as cases have started pouring in a big from villages like Kantabahal, Bisra, Bandega etc.

CORONA SHOWING ‘CAPITAL’ GROWTH IN ODISHA CAPITAL?

The second wave scenario in Bhubaneswar growing acute day by day. A look at the caseload and recovery rate tells the ground tale.

While the daily cases per lakh population today has risen to 14.7 from 12.9 yesterday, the caseload rate in the Capital City jumped to 69 per cent today from 54 per cent on April 6. On the other hand, the recovery rate has slipped to 31 per cent today from  45 per cent on April 6.

The rising gap between caseload and recovery rate in the Smart City indicates challenging days ahead.

THE EVIDENCE: Notwithstanding cases being detected from new localities, a downpour of new cases have also been reported from the clusters like Khandagiri and Nayapalli. As per epidemiologists, the covid-19 spread in the City is happening both horizontally and vertically, which is not a good sign, they opined.

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