Ramakanta Biswas

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Saturday predicted the formation of a cyclonic circulation over the north Andaman sea and neighborhood around September 29.  

"A cyclonic circulation is likely to form over the north Andaman sea and neighborhood on 29th September. Under its influence, a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over north Andaman sea & adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal during subsequent 48 Hrs," IMD's Bhubaneswar regional centre stated. 

The prediction of the IMD came at a time when there is apprehension of a cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. There were reports that a cyclonic storm may develop over the Bay of Bengal during the first week of October, as suggested by some models.

International meteorologist of AccuWeather, Jason Nicholls, in a tweet informed about the formation of the cyclone.

"Conditions can become conducive for low & perhaps a cyclone to develop in the Bay of Bengal late next week or during the 1st week of October," he wrote on his X handle.  

However, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has not made any prediction in this regard so far.

Speaking to OTV, IMD DG Mrutyunjay Mohapatra said, "October is a cyclone-prone month for Odisha. Depressions and cyclones are formed in the Bay of Bengal during this month. We have kept a vigil on the system. After a cyclonic circulation develops, a clear picture will emerge and we will share further details."

"As of now, we have not predicted any cyclone. People should not believe in rumours and instead follow the information shared by the IMD," he added. 

Mohapatra said there is a low probability of intensification of the system into a depression.  

"The system may move west-north-westwards. However, when it will reach the coast has not been predicted yet," he added.