Ramakanta Biswas

A cyclonic storm may develop over the Bay of Bengal during the first week of October, as suggested by some models. However, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has not made any prediction in this regard so far.

As per sources, a low pressure area is likely to develop over the east central Bay of Bengal around September 28. The system is likely to intensify into a cyclone in the first week of October. 

International meteorologist of AccuWeather, Jason Nicholls, in a tweet informed about the formation of the cyclone.

"Conditions can become conducive for low & perhaps a cyclone to develop in the Bay of Bengal late next week or during the 1st week of October," he wrote on his X handle.  

The ECMWF and GFS models also indicated the formation of a low pressure and its intensification into a cyclone heading towards east coast of India.     

Moreover, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) in its two-week forecast earlier had mentioned about possibility of Cyclogenesis towards 2nd week that is 29th September to 5th October.

If the system intensifies into a cyclone, it will be known as ‘Tej’. The name has been suggested by India.

As per sources, the probable cyclonic storm may affect east India, especially for North Andhra and south Odisha. Increased rainfall activity on the west coast during the end of September and early October is expected.