Ramakanta Biswas

With the India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicting the possible formation of the first cyclonic storm of 2023 in the Southeast Bay of Bengal, preparations are going on in full swing to deal with any eventuality arising out of the impending storm.
As per the latest forecast of the IMD, a cyclonic circulation is likely to develop over Southeast Bay of Bengal around 6 May 2023. 

Under its influence, a low pressure area is likely to form over the same region around May 7. It is likely to concentrate into a depression over the Southeast Bay of Bengal on May 8. Thereafter, it is likely to intensify into a cyclonic storm while moving nearly northwards towards the central Bay of Bengal.
If the system developed into a cyclonic storm, it will be known as cyclone Mocha, a name recommended by Yemen, and originates from the Yemeni city Mocha (or Mokha) located on the Red Sea coast. 

Yesterday, IMD DG Mrutyunjay Mohapatra while briefing about the possible cyclone made it clear that no alert has been issued for the Odisha coast as of now and there was no forecast about the likely impact of the system on the state.

Mohapatra urged people not to panic about a possible cyclone but to remain prepared to face any eventuality.

Expected weather and advisory 

Under the influence of cyclonic disturbance over Bay of Bengal

a) Squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to prevail over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas on May 7. 

b) Wind speed would gradually increase becoming 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas. Sea condition is likely to be rough over these areas. 

Advisory: a) Fishermen, small ships, boats and trawlers are advised not to venture into southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining areas from May 7 onwards. b) Those who are in the sea are advised to return to safer places before May 7.  

It can be reminded that the last summer cyclonic storm 'Fani' had made landfall near Puri on May 3, 2019. It had caused widespread devastation in coastal Odisha including capital city Bhubaneswar.

As per some reports, Cyclone Mocha is likely to make landfall on India's east coast between May 8 and 11.