Odishatv Bureau

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget for 2023-24 on Wednesday in Lok Sabha.

She will lay a statement of the estimated receipts and expenditure of the government for 2023-24.

The Finance Minister will also lay statements of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003, on medium-term fiscal policy cum fiscal policy strategy and on macro-economic framework.

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Sitharaman will further introduce the Finance Bill 2023 in the Lower House.

The Finance Minister had yesterday tabled Economic Survey 2022-23 in Lok Sabha. Here are the highlights of the Economic Survey 2022-23 tabled in Parliament on Tuesday:

  • India's economy to grow 6.5 pc in 2023-24, compared to 7 pc this fiscal and 8.7 pc in 2021-22
  • India to remain the fastest growing major economy in the world
  • GDP in nominal terms to be 11 pc in next fiscal
  • Growth driven by private consumption, higher capex, strengthening corporate balance sheet, credit growth to small businesses and return of migrant workers to cities
  • India third largest economy in PPP (purchasing power parity) terms, fifth largest in terms of exchange rate
  • Economy has nearly "recouped" what was lost, "renewed" what had paused, and "renerengised" what had slowed during the pandemic and since the conflict in Europe
  • Real GDP growth to be in the range of 6-6.8 pc next fiscal depending on global economic, political developments
  • India's recovery from the pandemic was relatively quick, growth next fiscal to be supported by solid domestic demand, pick up in capital investment
  • RBI projection of 6.8 pc inflation this fiscal outside the upper target limit, not high enough to deter private consumption, also not too low to weaken inducement to invest
  • Borrowing cost may remain 'higher for longer', entrenched inflation may prolong tightening cycle
  • Challenge to rupee depreciation persists with the likelihood of further interest rate hikes by the US Fed
  • CAD may continue to widen as global commodity prices remain elevated, economic growth momentum stays strong
  • If CAD widens further, rupee may come under depreciation pressure
  • Overall external situation to remain manageable
  • India has sufficient forex reserves to finance CAD and intervene in forex market to manage rupee volatility
  • Elevated downside risks to global economic outlook as inflation persisting in advanced economies and hints of further rate hikes by central banks
  • Inflation did not "creep too far above" tolerance range compared to several advanced nations
  • The growth in exports has moderated in second half of current fiscal; the surge in growth rate in 2021-22 and first half of current fiscal led to production processes shifting gears from 'mild acceleration' to 'cruise mode'
  • Slowing world growth, shrinking global trade led to loss of export stimulus in the second half of current year
  • Schemes like PM KISAN, PM Garib Kalyan Yojana significantly contributed to lessening impoverishment
  • Credit disbursal, capital investment cycle, expansion of public digital platform and schemes like PLI, National Logitics Policy and PM Gati Shakti to drive economic growth
  • Bank credit growth likely to be brisk in FY24 on back of benign inflation, moderate credit cost
  • Credit growth to small businesses remarkably high at over 30.5 pc in January-November, 2022
  • Housing prices firming up after release of pent-up demand, decline in inventories
  • Central govt capex grew 63.4 pc in April-November of current fiscal
  • India's economic resilience has helped it withstand the challenge of mitigating external imbalances caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict without losing growth momentum
  • Stock market gave positive retruns in calendar year 2022 unfazed by FPI withdrawal
  • India withstood extraordinary set of challenges better than most economies
  • After a dip in FY21, GST paid by small businesses has been rising and now crossed pre-pandemic levels reflecting the effectiveness of targeted government intervention
  • Private consumption, capital formation led economic growth in current fiscal has helped generate employment; urban employment rate declined, while Employee Provident Fund registration rose.

(With agency Inputs)