The runaway hit poll dialogue of Uttar Pradesh CM Yogi Adityanath - "10 March Ke Baad Dekhna Garmi Ko Saant Karba Denge" - (After March 10 (result day), We will chill your (mafia) heat) may come true in the most populous state, literally. But weather predictions have no such chill news for Odisha.
The season's first heatwave is all set to singe the State from March 17 and will linger on till the first week of April. As per the predictions made by the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), the probability of the season's first heat wave will simmer the State of Odisha first. The probability of heatwave hitting Gujarat is likely from the last week of March.
Heat Wave Range
A cursory glance at the IITM multi-model ensemble (MME) reveals that there is a 30-70 percent probability of a heatwave sweeping Odisha from the second fortnight. The prediction is this heatwave will sustain in the State till April first week. The maximum daytime temperature is set to breach the 40 deg C in the third week of March.
Heatwave (around 42-45 deg C) is predicted to grip the districts of Kalahandi, Balangir, Boudh, adjoining Kandhamal and Rayagada. The other districts that will feel the singe are Puri, Khordha, including Bhubaneswar, Cuttack, Dhenkanal, Angul, Keonjhar and parts of Sundargarh. The districts in south Odisha are also predicted to come under its sweep.
However, the respite for the denizens of Odisha has been that the State is unlikely to record any severe heatwave till the end of the first week of April.
Warm Morning In Odisha
As per the NCEP GFS prediction, the morning temperature in Odisha will post a big rise. The data shows while the coastal and adjoining interior districts current have been recording a minimum temperature of around 21 deg C, the western, southern and northern measure their morning mercury at around 18-19 deg C.
The predictions show that from March 18 onwards, the morning time temperature in coastal Odisha will breach the 25deg C level, and elsewhere in the State will hover between 20-21 deg C.
On the contrary, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, MP will record their morning mercury in the range of 25-28 deg C.
But during the third week of March, the morning mercury in the coastal districts, including Capital city Bhubaneswar, is predicted to hover at over 25 deg C.
As per the NCEP model, the maximum daytime temperature in Bhubaneswar will touch 40 deg C in the coming next 48 hours. The Capital city is predicted to record 40 deg C till March 15. And the mercury is predicted to rise further from March 20 onwards.
Humidity is set to rule the city from March 16 onwards. The models predict the relative humidity level in the city atmosphere at a high of over 80 percent.
With the CAPE value for the city predicted at over 1000 joules per kg from March 17 onwards, is predicted to breach the 2000-mark on March 20. This breaching indicates a likely thunderstorm in the Capital City between March 19-21.