Sanjeev Kumar Patro

Bhubaneswar: The infectious novel coronavirus is seemingly galloping ahead in India. The ever-rising numbers are evident from its rapid rate of infection.

When Covid-19 took 59 long days to cross the 1000 mark in the country, the count crossed the 2000 mark in just 5 days. But now the infectious run rate is 1000 every 2 days.

The number of novel coronavirus cases in the country crossed the 1000 mark only on March 28. The country had reported its first Covid-19 case on Jan 30.

Now, look at its sheer pace. The Covid-19 cases in the country crossed the 2000 mark on April 2, which means 1000 new cases in mere 5 days. But on April 4, the total novel coronavirus positives zoomed past the 3000 mark, and on April 6 (Monday), the Covid-19 tally has crossed the 4000 mark.

As per the Union Health Ministry report, the tidal surge in Covid-19 cases in the country after April 1 has been attributed to the Tablighi Jamaat episode. Because, this community cluster has contributed nearly one-third of new cases in the country.

The virulent run of Covid-19 is not only witnessed in the galloping rate of positive cases, the death count has also taken a speedier turn.

Sample this. India recorded its first Covid-19 death on March 1. The death count on March 27 stood at 20. The toll per day is roughly estimated at 7 deaths every 10 days.

In contrast, the death rate saw a jump to nearly 7 per day during the period March 28 - April 1. But in April, the fatality rate turned quite lethal.  Between April 1 and April 6, the new deaths in the country stands at around 60. The Covid-19 fatality clock in the country shows 15 deaths every day.

Covid-19 fatality rate

It needs mentioning here that the Covid-19 death count in India as on April 5 stood at 118, though Union Health Ministry data puts the toll count at 109, which didn't include 4 deaths each in Telangana and Madhya Pradesh.

Telangana Covid-19 chart

An analysis reveals that since April 1, the country has recorded almost on an average 500 new positive cases every day. If the trend continues, then by April 14, when the nationwide lockdown period comes to an end, the total Covid-19 count in the country would be hovering over the 8000 mark.

Covid-19 India graph

However, a green shoot visible among the despair times is the daily growth rate of Covid-19 cases in the country has posted a downhill journey now, after touching the highest every daily growth rate of over 27 per cent on April 1.

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