Cyclone fear rises as low pressure strengthens over Bay; IMD keeps Odisha out of danger for now

A rapidly strengthening weather system in the southeast Bay of Bengal has increased the possibility of a cyclone later this week, prompting heightened caution across the eastern coast. 

According to the latest weather updates, a low-pressure area that formed over the Malacca Strait and adjoining South Andaman Sea has already intensified into a well-marked low-pressure system, and is expected to become a depression today, before continuing to strengthen. 

However, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has not yet released any forecast on its movement, impact or landfall.

System To Intensify Over Next 48 Hours

As per global weather models and weather experts, the low-pressure system developed near the Malacca Strait, gradually moved towards the South Andaman Sea, and then grew stronger over open waters.

Forecast models indicate that the system will continue to consolidate over the southeast Bay of Bengal, turning into a deeper system during its journey towards the west-northwest direction over the next 48 hours.

Expanding on the strengthening trend, weather researcher Sandeep Patnaik said that oceanic conditions near the southeast Bay are currently “highly supportive” for rapid intensification. 

According to him, strong wind inflow from Pacific waters and a wider warm sea surface are likely to accelerate the system’s intensification over a short period, particularly between November 26 and 30. He noted that this phase will decide the storm’s eventual strength over the sea.

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Odisha May See Rain, Not Severe Landfall Impact

Initial regional assessments suggest that Odisha may not face the brunt of the cyclone, even if the system gains full strength.

Instead, the potential landfall is expected towards Tamil Nadu or southern Andhra Pradesh, leaving Odisha primarily vulnerable to moisture-laden winds and rainfall.

Meanwhile, global forecasts indicate a significant rise in wind speed over the sea. From tomorrow, wind gusts are expected to increase, reaching 60–70 km/h, possibly crossing 80 km/h. By November 27 morning, winds could escalate towards the 100 km/h threshold, intensifying sea conditions further.

Odisha’s Revenue and Disaster Management Department has confirmed that the disturbance is still far from the coast but remains under strict monitoring. He stated that the administration is prepared to mitigate the impact if the intensifying system shifts towards Odisha’s coastline.