Will cyclonic circulation over southeast Bay of Bengal intensify?

A cyclonic circulation currently hovering over the southeast Bay of Bengal is showing signs of intensifying into a low-pressure area, with the potential to develop into a stronger weather system. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the system is being closely monitored as it continues to move west-northwestward over the next few days.

The IMD, in its latest update, confirmed that a low-pressure area is likely to form over the south Bay of Bengal. If conditions remain favourable, this system could undergo further intensification, raising the possibility of it developing into a depression or even a cyclonic storm in the coming days.

Also Read: Low-pressure area forms over Bay of Bengal; will it impact Odisha?

While various weather models have presented differing views, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has indicated a stronger likelihood of intensification, forecasting the formation of a well-marked low-pressure area over the southwest Bay of Bengal around Tuesday. This has fuelled concerns, especially for coastal states like Odisha, which are vulnerable to cyclonic events originating in the Bay.

Director of the Bhubaneswar Meteorological Centre, Manorama Mohanty, stated, “The next 24 to 48 hours will be crucial. More clarity on the system’s intensity and its projected path will be available once the low-pressure area is fully formed.”

On average, the Bay of Bengal sees more cyclonic activity than the Arabian Sea, with a ratio of 4:1. Odisha, in particular, bears the brunt of these tropical systems nearly every year. As a precaution, authorities have urged coastal residents to stay updated with official forecasts and advisories.

Continuous satellite monitoring and model updates will determine whether this evolving system poses a serious threat to India’s eastern coastline.